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2024-12-14 10:26:24
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First, basically similar to April and May this year, the market will surprise everyone from time to time and hit a new high.Of course, there are still many situations, which are enough to explain the current trend. It is a trend of attracting more people, and I will not list them one by one. My judgment has gone up and down these days, and I keep making mistakes. Maybe it's because I want this wave of market to work normally, so I will adjust it, and it will go up when it goes up, but I just push up the index and go up for the sake of going up. In addition, the trading volume can't be effectively enlarged. Without a new leading plate, I rely on a few big index stocks to control the market. This is ship pulled. Therefore, I am still bearish on tomorrow's A-share market.There have been three shrinking volume piles. I posted a picture for you in the article the day before yesterday. You can have a look. Through the judgment of volume, it is concluded that 3494 points is a high point, because there is no volume to support the rise, which belongs to the nature of attracting more and ship pulled.


In fact, under the big roof on October 8, this has no practical significance, mainly to attract more, stabilize the stuck chips, and what must be done is to find a new receiver, because residents' deposits remain high.Third, there is no need to do size conversion for the current A-shares.A-shares have gone out of the upward trend today, but the heat of the market has not improved, and the wait-and-see mood is relatively strong. Then why should the main force continue to pull up the market index, whether to start the second wave of market, or to change the size, or to pull up and attract more? On these three questions, I said my own point of view.


Second, the plate rotation is too fast, and no new leading plate can be found.First, at present, there is no sign that A shares will start the second wave of market, and the conditions are not available.The volume pile is shrinking, the volume and price deviate, and the market index deviates. The rise at this stage is ship pulled, and now the market fully meets these characteristics.

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